Gradient boosting survival tree with applications in credit scoring

نویسندگان

چکیده

Credit scoring plays a vital role in the field of consumer finance. Survival analysis provides an advanced solution to credit-scoring problem by quantifying probability survival time. In order deal with highly heterogeneous industrial data collected Chinese market finance, we propose nonparametric ensemble tree model called gradient boosting (GBST) that extends models algorithm. The is learned minimising negative log-likelihood additive manner. proposed optimises simultaneously for each time period, which can reduce overall error significantly. Finally, as test applicability, apply GBST quantify credit risk large-scale real datasets. results show outperforms existing measured concordance index (C-index), Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) index, well area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) period.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of the Operational Research Society

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['0160-5682', '1476-9360']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2021.1919035